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dan

The Economic Crisis is just a Symptom of the Energy Crisis

Hi all,
some of you may know that there is a new feature to the Pickens Site. We now have a vblog for TB Pickens himself. This will be a daily video message to use letting us know what is on his mind. The latest entry, I watched this morning, discussed the economic crisis and how it is connected to oil prices. Now at first blush I think that some may scratch there head and say, but what about the mortgage crisis. What about the banks risky lending practices?

Yes, what about those? These are a factor, obviously, however there is a fundamental that does not revel itself at first look. It is that energy is the basis for our entire economy. You can't really find a single aspect of our national economy that is not directly affected by the cost of oil. I would point out to you that it is not a coincidence that these financial institutions which were teetering on the edge are suddenly tipping a mere few months after gas prices topped 4.00 a gallon.

Think about this for a moment. We as middle class, upper and lower middle class, have been dependent on cars to move around ourselves, our food, all of the goods that we consume. Our wages have been stagnate for over a decade while prices have been creeping up ever so slightly. Many of us have turned to credit over the years to fill that gap since wages were not. Then out of the blue, oil sky rockets out of control. This has caused us to almost double the amount we spend to get back and forth to work. Food prices takes off. Everything goes up. So we are suddenly hammered from every direction that we can look. For those who took chances in the real estate market, they got nailed. Ballooning mortgages at the same time that gas prices, food prices and everything else takes off. Their financial world ended.

Now do not get me wrong. I believe that this crises that exists is real. And the practices of many banks and sub prime lending companies have created the basic problem here. What I am saying is that skyrocketing oil prices made a bad thing worse. In fact it could be argued that it took it to the crises level. With the oil prices jumping like they did, even people who were not risk takers suddenly were in trouble. People, a lot of good responsible people who were on the edge have suddenly been bought low due to the energy policy of the past 50 years. We have all felt the pinch these past 6 months. It is only getting worse as DOW Chemical raises the cost of all of their chemicals by 100% in the past 6 months, it is going to get a lot worse, we just don't know it yet.

Mr. Pickens is correct in this, the root of this crisis is really the energy policy. We need to get our congressmen and women on board. They need to sign on to the Pickens plan. They need to support HR 2809, the New Apollo Energy Act. They dove tail together perfectly. Pickens and his plan calls for help developing the grid to handle new energy generation. This is in the New Apollo Energy Act. The Apollo act calls for massive investment into new power generation, Pickens is tight on board leading the charge. We need to call our congress people and tell them to sign on with Pickens and get behind and add their support to the Apollo act. This will be a one two punch knock the energy policy of the country into a more sustainable energy future.

If we make these new bold steps we will start moving into a better economic future. A lot will happen. We will become less susceptible to oil market swings. We will isolate ourselves form the impending issue of peak oil. But more importantly, and this is very important, there are great things to be done to improve our infrastructure. We must modernize our grid, our energy generation systems. Doing this will create tens of thousands if not millions of good jobs. manufacturing jobs, construction jobs. We can use this as an opportunity to pull the economy out of the potential doldrums we are heading into. Call now, tell them to sign the Pickens plan and to sponsor HR 2809. Doing this more then bailing out Wall Street bad practices is really the way to address the economic crisis we are on the edge of. Call now. Tell them they need to really examine the bail out and more importantly, they MUST sign on to the Pickens Plan. they must support HR 2809.

Tags: bailout, crisis, depression, economic, energy, hr2809, pickens, wallstreet

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Eric Lykins Comment by Eric Lykins on September 28, 2008 at 1:36pm
"...the US economy, notwithstanding the admirable flexibility of its labor markets, is not going to be able to move unemployed investment bankers onto industrial assembly lines overnight," says Barry Eichengreen, VoxEU.org, "And Now The Great Depression"
Scott Baker Comment by Scott Baker on September 22, 2008 at 7:47am
The president will have to assume FDR-like powers to solve the derivative collapse.

He should declare all derivatives placed outside of legally regulated markets (90% of them) null and void. These "bets" - worth $180 trillion according the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in America alone, and up to $450 trillion worldwide - could not have been made in regulated markets, because the players had insufficient collateral.

If the parties object to the elimination of their derivative bets, they should be reminded of the penalty for fraud; it is inconceivable they did not know they were establishing positions far beyond their ability to repay.

For every buyer there is a seller, so the amounts lost would zero out and no party would gain an advantage. We would just get to reset the clock. This is as fair as things can be made, given where we are.

What is causing the panic in the markets right now is the realization that the losers have insufficient money to pay the winners. The domino effect of multiple collapses cannot be stemmed by any government, even by running the printing press overtime. The only solution is to wipe the underlying derivatives off the books and ensure these bets are never made again by creating laws to send those who make them in the future to jail.
Christine Rodgers Comment by Christine Rodgers on September 21, 2008 at 11:08pm
The economic crises parallels the energy/oil crises in several ways. Our industrial age was based on our ability to use petroleum to get lots and lots of energy easily. The energy from the sun that was stored and condensed ages ago, was so rich that the work expended to get it was relatively small compared to the bounty of work that could be done by burning it. But once it is used up, or is too hard to get, we have no back up, no ability to tap into any comparable source. We blinded ourselves to the corner we were backing into and the day we would have to pay the piper.
Meanwhile, the GNP increased (meaning we are working harder) but the extra money did not go to those working so efficiently, it went to the top. Wages didn't increase, but prices slowly went up. Over time, middle-class consummers spent their savings to stay in the same place. Then the middle class started using credit to stay in the same place. After all it is our duty to keep the wheels of the economy turning. But again, we blinded ourselves to the corner this economy was backing into and now we are working very hard and there is no more credit to be had. Essentially our incomes relatively decreased. The credit cards are maxed out and the value of our houses is beginning to go down. We used up our savings and our credit just to keep up. But with expensive oil and fewer jobs, we'll be buying less.......
So I would say that all our problems can be chalked up to living in a dream world......thinking that tomorrow was far away and we would never have to pay up. So we better get moving to convince the powers that be that tomorrow is here. We want HR 2809 and sustainable energy and support to modernize the grid etc.

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