Why 2009 will not be as bad as predicted!

I am of the opinion that a major factor in the downturn of our economy was the excessive cost of gasoline and diesel (see my discussion in "ENERGY PARTY" titled "The cost of transportation in the US...") and because of this the excessive cost of transporting EVERYTHING in the US.

Our economy in the US depends upon cheap energy. 70% of all oil consumed by the US is devoted to transportation... the moving of goods, services, people... essentially TRANSPORTING our GNP, Gross National Product (or the total of everything that is sold). It depends on cheap energy because we are excessive with our luxuries... our way of life! If we do not have cheap energy, this way of life we have become accustomed to CRUMBLES!!!

An important FACT is the rest of the world DEPENDS on our way of life as well... this is evident in the crumbling economies in Japan, China and Taiwan. If we do not excessively purchase... stuff... these countries do not excessively EXPORT... stuff. The balance is the landslide of companies over the last several years that have moved manufacturing out of the country and... CHEAP ENERGY!

So, why do I see 2009 as not being so bad? 2 reasons:
1) There has begun a re-thinking of companies over the last several months to re-establish the manufacturing of their products to the US... the costs of US labor has re-adjusted because of the high unemployment. Essentially people are willing to work for less.
2) We once again have cheap energy... cheap gasoline and I believe diesel will continue to fall... therefore, cheap transportation.

This economic collapse swept upon us relatively quickly. The meat of the collapse occurred between Aug. and Nov. I believe the re-structuring and the bottom will be realized within the first quarter of '09 and because cheap energy is now becoming available... the wheels are already turning :)

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Comment by cecil friend on March 8, 2009 at 4:12am: hi adam, as a inventor you have to be a positive thinker, it is a required trait, however their are some other factors you need to consider, in simple laymans language, the laws of cause and effect, and the laws of motion , and the fear factor of humans as creatures, the herd effect, are needed to be considered here....I for one , would also like to have our economy turn around in your time frame, but there is no way that i can see that taking place when you consider the above forces of human nature and laws of motion...our economy is so broad , think of a locomotive running down the track, because of the weight and the momentum going forward or backward and on a locked in track , moving at a 100 mph speed , which would be 2 years ago equivalent to what our economy artifically was doing...... now suddenly the engineer sees directly ahead the track disappearing directly in front of his eyes......what happened........????? This is a metaphor for what has taken place in our country and world, and i know its not the most elaborate but if you can visualize my scenario, then you can see why it is going to take more time to deal with this train wreck, due to the time involved to rebuild the track, possibly with different materials, resolve the fear factor so people will trust in riding trains again, i.e. start to believe its going to get better so they start purchasing tickets, i.e. more goods and services, and the biggest factor is hard to figure, which is the time it will take to do all the above....the herd instinct , is a powerfull force in human nature , thats what was one of the primary reasons this whole debacle is so large....anyway , i was caught up in your windmill invention, and some other great works and felt the desire to touch base with you.......I have some ideas which might give you some more resources to look at on your invention if your patent is valid......take care....cecil